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Canada's 5-year conventional mortgage rate history

The Bank of Canada has tracked the posted 5-year conventional mortgage rate charged by Canada's chartered banks for decades — here is the year-by-year record since 2015.

Last updated: August 1, 2026 Data: 2015–2026 Sources cited below
Headline number
6.09%

posted 5-year conventional mortgage rate in Canada, July 2026

— down from a 7.04% peak at the end of 2023, but still well above the 4.64% floor seen in 2015–2016.

Bank of Canada (series V80691335)

№ 01

The posted rate, year by year

Values are the posted 5-year conventional mortgage rate as of the last business day of each year (mid-2026 for the current year).

5-year conventional mortgage rate (% posted)

0% 2.5% 5% 7.5% 4.64 7.04 6.09 PEAK · 2023 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 (Jul)

Year-end values of the posted 5-year conventional mortgage rate (last published observation of each year); 2026 reflects the most recent value as of late July. Source: Bank of Canada.

Key takeaways

  1. 1

    2023 was the peak: the posted 5-year conventional rate topped out at 7.04% in December 2023, the highest since the early 2000s.

  2. 2

    2015–2021 was a low-rate plateau: the rate held in a narrow 4.64%–5.34% band for seven straight years before the 2022 hiking cycle.

  3. 3

    The 2022 jump was the fastest in decades: the posted rate rose 1.70 points in a single year (4.79% to 6.49%) as the Bank of Canada raised its policy rate repeatedly.

  4. 4

    Posted rates run above what most borrowers pay: lenders routinely discount off the posted rate, so this series is best used to track the direction and speed of rate moves, not the exact rate a client will be offered.

The data

Sourced
YearPosted 5-yr rateChangeNote
20154.64%Low-rate era begins
20164.64%0.00 ptsStress test introduced for insured mortgages
20174.99%+0.35 ptsBank of Canada begins hiking from emergency lows
20185.34%+0.35 ptsB-20 stress test extended to uninsured mortgages
20195.19%-0.15 ptsRate hikes pause
20204.79%-0.40 ptsPandemic-era rate cuts
20214.79%0.00 ptsHeld near pandemic lows
20226.49%+1.70 ptsFastest annual jump on record
20237.04%+0.55 ptsPEAK — highest posted rate since the early 2000s
20246.49%-0.55 ptsBank of Canada begins cutting
20256.09%-0.40 ptsRate-cut cycle continues
20266.09%0.00 ptsAs of July 2026

Source: Bank of Canada, posted interest rates (Valet series V80691335). Values are year-end (last published observation of the year).

№ 02

How the posted rate compares

2.25%

Bank of Canada policy rate, July 2026

Bank of Canada

4.45%

Chartered bank prime rate, July 2026

Bank of Canada

3.19%

5-year Government of Canada bond yield, July 2026

Bank of Canada

7.04%

Peak posted 5-year rate, reached December 2023

Bank of Canada

What should brokers do with the posted-rate trend?

The posted rate is a directional signal, not a client quote — but its swings explain why 2026 renewals are landing so differently depending on when the original term was signed. Use the trend to set client expectations early, especially for anyone renewing off a 2020–2021 term. Pair it with the stress test and bond-yield data below to explain the full picture in one conversation.

Sources & methodology

  1. 1.Bank of Canada — Valet series V80691335 (Conventional mortgage: 5-year) bankofcanada.ca
  2. 2.Bank of Canada — Valet observations, V80691335 bankofcanada.ca
  3. 3.Bank of Canada — Valet series V39079 (Target for the overnight rate) bankofcanada.ca
  4. 4.Bank of Canada — Valet series V80691311 (Prime rate) bankofcanada.ca
  5. 5.Bank of Canada — Valet series BD.CDN.5YR.DQ.YLD (Benchmark bond yield: 5 year) bankofcanada.ca

Last updated August 1, 2026. Each figure carries its source; projections are labelled. Page reviewed on every major source release. Information only — not advice.

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