The billion-dollar figure everyone assumes applies is only one of at least three different tests, and it is the wrong one for most non-Canadian buyers.
Short answer
It depends entirely on who the buyer is, not just how big the deal is. A non-WTO investor is reviewable at a $5 million asset-value floor under s.14(3) of the Investment Canada Act; a WTO investor gets a much higher enterprise-value threshold under s.14.1, enacted at $1 billion and re-indexed to GDP every January; and a trade agreement investor gets a still-higher enterprise-value threshold under s.14.11, enacted at $1.5 billion and indexed the same way. None of those figures should be relied on as this year's actual number without checking the Canada Gazette.
Section 14(3) sets the baseline that applies unless a higher-tier investor status displaces it: an investment is reviewable where the value of the assets acquired “is five million dollars or more.” This is the threshold a non-WTO investor is tested against on a direct acquisition of control.
Section 14.1(1)(d) sets the WTO investor figure: “for an investment implemented at any time in the period that begins on the day on which this paragraph comes into force and that ends on December 31 of the following year, $1,000,000,000.” Paragraph (e) then hands the number off to an annual GDP-indexation formula in s.14.1(2), published in the Canada Gazette under s.14.1(3) every January — the enacted $1 billion is not the current figure for any year after the first.
Section 14.11(1)(a) sets a separate, higher figure for an investor ultimately controlled in a country with a qualifying trade agreement with Canada: “for an investment implemented at any time in the period that begins on the day on which this paragraph comes into force and that ends on December 31 of the following calendar year, $1,500,000,000,” again indexed annually under s.14.11(3) and published under s.14.11(4). Two bidders offering an identical price can face genuinely different review outcomes depending only on which of these three thresholds their ultimate parent qualifies for.
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